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Pricing Outlook - 1st August 2026

The Oil market remains driven by geopolitical risk around the Strait of Hormuz following renewed optimism for a USIran peace deal, Iran rejecting Oman’s shared-control proposal and renewed attacks on tankers.
Tehran’s demand for greater control over shipping lanes has weakened hopes for a quick diplomatic resolution and heightened concerns over disruptions to this critical oil and
LNG route. Although positive comments from the United States have occasionally eased prices, renewed military activity, shipping restrictions and the closure of other strategic routes such as Bab el-Mandeb continue to sustain a substantial risk premium and freight cost, with Brent
trading around $88 per barrel.
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